MSV Duisburg 3-0 Meppen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
13%
4.26
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
8%
6.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.4
2/2
10%
8.82
2/X
7%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
62%
-3.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Meppen EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.89/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.51
-8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
25.8 Crosses 18.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Meppen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Meppen Meppen AL3
21.08.2022 Meppen Meppen 0-3 HT 0-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
14.03.2022 Meppen Meppen 1-2 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
02.10.2021 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Meppen Meppen AL3
22.05.2021 Meppen Meppen 2-1 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
17.01.2021 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Meppen Meppen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
3-0
AWAY Meppen
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Meppen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg ran out comfortable winners over Meppen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for MSV Duisburg and 0.67 for Meppen.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Meppen?

MSV Duisburg 3-0 Meppen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Meppen?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 59%, draw 20%, Meppen 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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