Montpellier 1-1 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 8 Aug 2026

Montpellier
1-1 HT 0-0
Dijon
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2026/2027

Montpellier vs Dijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
22%
4.42
X/2
9%
8.11
X/X
14%
4.43
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
10%
6.55
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Dijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -20%
1.75/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.50
+17% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
21.8 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Montpellier vs Dijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dijon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.20 xG 1.26
58% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 4-2 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR1
27.09.2020 Dijon Dijon 2-2 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
25.01.2020 Montpellier Montpellier 2-1 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR1
04.12.2019 Dijon Dijon 2-2 HT 1-2 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
13.01.2019 Dijon Dijon 1-1 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
11.08.2018 Montpellier Montpellier 1-2 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR1

Montpellier 1-1 Dijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
1-1
AWAY Dijon
1.84 xG 1.53
27 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
351 Passes 264
40 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier and Dijon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Montpellier and 1.67 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Dijon?

Montpellier 1-1 Dijon in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 50%, draw 26%, Dijon 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
8 Aug 2026
21:45 Boulogne vs Nancy Analysis →
21:45 Dunkerque vs Grenoble Analysis →
21:45 Metz vs Guingamp Analysis →
21:45 Nantes vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
21:45 Clermont vs Reims Analysis →
21:45 Pau vs Annecy Analysis →