Metz vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metz v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Metz vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Metz
FR2
3-6
HT 3-3
Guingamp
FR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Metz
FR1
1-3
HT 1-1
Guingamp
FR1
Metz 2-1 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Metz edged past Guingamp 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.07 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Metz and 2.00 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Metz vs Guingamp?
Metz 2-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metz vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Metz 48%, draw 28%, Guingamp 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.