Guingamp 0-3 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 15 Feb 2025

Guingamp
0-3 HT 0-1
Metz
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Guingamp vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.32
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 36% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.46
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
13%
6.12
X/2
11%
5.41
X/X
19%
3.79
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.67
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.4pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.6pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Metz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.04/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.04
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.1 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Guingamp vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Metz
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
20.05.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FR2
12.09.2022 Metz Metz 3-6 HT 3-3 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
24.02.2018 Guingamp Guingamp 2-2 HT 1-1 Metz Metz FR1
05.08.2017 Metz Metz 1-3 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
20.05.2017 Guingamp Guingamp 1-0 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR1

Guingamp 0-3 Metz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
0-3
AWAY Metz
1.26 xG 2.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
465 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz cruised past Guingamp 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 38%) promised a tight game; Metz found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Guingamp had 58% of the ball to Metz's 42%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.26 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Guingamp and 1.33 for Metz.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Metz?

Guingamp 0-3 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 28%, draw 34%, Metz 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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