Dunkerque 1-0 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.42
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
11%
6.16
X/2
8%
5.47
X/X
17%
3.83
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.67
2/X
5%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.00/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.94
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.7 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Paris FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.97 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 428
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 3-2 HT 0-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
27.01.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
21.10.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-3 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
28.01.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
31.07.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
02.03.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
1-0
AWAY Paris FC
1.12 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
483 Passes 376
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque nicked a narrow win over Paris FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Dunkerque made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Dunkerque had 56% of the ball to Paris FC's 44%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 1.12 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunkerque and 1.83 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Paris FC?

Dunkerque 1-0 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 35%, draw 30%, Paris FC 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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