Paris FC 3-2 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 32% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
19%
4.01
X/2
8%
9.18
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
11%
7.21
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +27%
1.75/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.47
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.1 Crosses 14.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
393 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
21.10.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-3 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
28.01.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
31.07.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
02.03.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
07.11.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
3-2
AWAY Dunkerque
1.01 xG 0.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
538 Passes 264
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC nicked a narrow win over Dunkerque 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC had 63% of the ball to Dunkerque's 37%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.01 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paris FC and 0.83 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Dunkerque?

Paris FC 3-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 49%, draw 27%, Dunkerque 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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