Troyes 0-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Aug 2024

Troyes
0-1 HT 0-1
Clermont
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Troyes vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.15
6+ Goals
11%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.98
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
12%
6.43
X/2
18%
4.51
X/X
9%
4.33
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.04
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Troyes v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.32/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.17
+43% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
15.2 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Troyes vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Clermont
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2023 Troyes Troyes 0-2 HT 0-2 Clermont Clermont FR1
18.09.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-3 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR1
20.04.2022 Troyes Troyes 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
15.08.2021 Clermont Clermont 2-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
02.02.2021 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 2-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
28.09.2020 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2

Troyes 0-1 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
0-1
AWAY Clermont
0.66 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 3
392 Passes 483
89% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont squeezed past Troyes 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Clermont as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Troyes had 46% of the ball to Clermont's 54%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.66 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Troyes and 1.33 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Clermont?

Troyes 0-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Troyes 29%, draw 24%, Clermont 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Clermont) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Clermont) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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