Stade Lavallois 0-1 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.45
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.96
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
13%
6.03
X/2
14%
4.63
X/X
12%
3.63
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.43
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +24%
1.31/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.01
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.3 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guingamp
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.75
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 Passes 405
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.09.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
29.04.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 3-1 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
06.08.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.03.2013 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 2-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
07.12.2012 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
0-1
AWAY Guingamp
1.41 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
368 Passes 458
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp squeezed past Stade Lavallois 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 47% of the ball to Guingamp's 53%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.41 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.50 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Guingamp?

Stade Lavallois 0-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 32%, draw 26%, Guingamp 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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