Guingamp 0-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
9%
9.09
X/X
15%
5.15
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
11%
6.92
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.60/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.1 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.72 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
352 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
29.04.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 3-1 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
06.08.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.03.2013 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 2-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
07.12.2012 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
05.10.2012 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
0-1
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.83 xG 1.19
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
565 Passes 259
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois squeezed past Guingamp 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guingamp had 67% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 33%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.83 to 1.19 — on chances, Guingamp could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guingamp and 1.33 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois?

Guingamp 0-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 47%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guingamp) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
17 May 2024
21:45 Angers vs Dunkerque Analysis →
21:45 Quevilly vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
21:45 Grenoble vs Amiens SC Analysis →
21:45 Caen vs Valenciennes Analysis →
21:45 Troyes vs Annecy Analysis →
21:45 Bastia vs Paris FC Analysis →