Bastia vs Amiens SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Amiens SC — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Amiens SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Bastia
FR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Amiens SC
FR2
3-1
HT 2-1
Bastia
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Amiens SC
FR2
Bastia 1-0 Amiens SC — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia edged past Amiens SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bastia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bastia had 61% of the ball to Amiens SC's 39%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bastia and 1.33 for Amiens SC.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Amiens SC?
Bastia 1-0 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Amiens SC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bastia 32%, draw 31%, Amiens SC 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amiens SC) went the other way.