Bastia vs Amiens SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Amiens SC — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Amiens SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Bastia
FR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Amiens SC
FR2
3-1
HT 2-1
Bastia
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Amiens SC
FR2
2-1
HT 2-1
Amiens SC
FR2
Bastia 1-2 Amiens SC — Actual Match Statistics
Amiens SC nicked a narrow win over Bastia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Bastia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bastia had 59% of the ball to Amiens SC's 41%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.77 to 1.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bastia and 1.17 for Amiens SC.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Amiens SC?
Bastia 1-2 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Amiens SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bastia 41%, draw 28%, Amiens SC 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.