Troyes vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Troyes
FR2
2-2
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Valenciennes
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Valenciennes
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
4-2
HT 0-2
Valenciennes
FR2
Troyes 0-1 Valenciennes — Actual Match Statistics
Valenciennes squeezed past Troyes 1-0 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Troyes had 44% of the ball to Valenciennes's 56%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.74 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Troyes and 1.00 for Valenciennes.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Valenciennes?
Troyes 0-1 Valenciennes in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Valenciennes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Troyes 47%, draw 27%, Valenciennes 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Troyes), Over 2.5 went the other way.