Bordeaux 4-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.68
Over 2.5
34%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 37% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.34
X/2
10%
7.69
X/X
16%
4.12
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
8%
6.09
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.6pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.64/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.07
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
19.4 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bordeaux
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.87 xG 0.66
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
500 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-0 HT 0-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR2
12.04.2014 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 0-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1
01.12.2013 Bordeaux Bordeaux 4-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
09.02.2013 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 1-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1
23.09.2012 Bordeaux Bordeaux 2-2 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
17.03.2012 Bordeaux Bordeaux 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bordeaux
4-0
AWAY Ajaccio
2.04 xG 0.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bordeaux vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bordeaux ran out comfortable winners over Ajaccio 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bordeaux as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Bordeaux had 57% of the ball to Ajaccio's 43%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.04 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bordeaux and 0.83 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Bordeaux vs Ajaccio?

Bordeaux 4-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bordeaux vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bordeaux win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bordeaux 45%, draw 30%, Ajaccio 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bordeaux), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bordeaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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