Quevilly 1-2 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 23% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.8
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.51
X/2
12%
6.99
X/X
8%
4.74
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
12%
5.15
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 31%
-25% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.18/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.33
+4% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.5 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.78 xG 0.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
248 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
14.05.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 3-1 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
24.07.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 1-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
10.01.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 3-2 HT 3-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
1-2
AWAY Dunkerque
0.93 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
289 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque edged past Quevilly 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Quevilly at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Quevilly had 52% of the ball to Dunkerque's 48%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.93 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Quevilly had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Quevilly and 1.25 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Dunkerque?

Quevilly 1-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 41%, draw 26%, Dunkerque 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Quevilly) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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