Grenoble 2-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 May 2024

Grenoble
2-1 HT 2-1
Concarneau
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Grenoble vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.94
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
4.73
X/2
10%
6.55
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.61
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grenoble v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.51/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.83
+13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.9 Crosses 23.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Grenoble vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Concarneau
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.94 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
416 Passes 461
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 42
4 Crosses 38
The Meetings
19.12.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 0-3 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2

Grenoble 2-1 Concarneau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
2-1
AWAY Concarneau
1.83 xG 1.62
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
335 Passes 504
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble edged past Concarneau 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Grenoble found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grenoble had 41% of the ball to Concarneau's 59%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.83 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Concarneau?

Grenoble 2-1 Concarneau in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 40%, draw 29%, Concarneau 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grenoble), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grenoble) ✓ BTTS Yes
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