Angers 2-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 May 2024

Angers
2-1 HT 1-0
Pau
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
10%
5.88
2/1
5%
21.0
2/2
11%
7.17
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.27/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
-1% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.4 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pau
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.47 xG 2.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
447 Passes 252
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Pau Pau 4-4 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
2-1
AWAY Pau
1.67 xG 0.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
340 Passes 429
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angers vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers edged past Pau 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Angers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Angers had 45% of the ball to Pau's 55%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.67 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Angers vs Pau?

Angers 2-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Angers 53%, draw 22%, Pau 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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