Caen vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caen v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals
Caen vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Caen
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Stade Lavallois
FR2
4-0
HT 2-0
Caen
FR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Caen
FR2
2-1
HT 2-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
Caen 1-0 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics
Caen squeezed past Stade Lavallois 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Caen had 66% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 34%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.80 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Caen's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caen and 1.50 for Stade Lavallois.
What was the final score of Caen vs Stade Lavallois?
Caen 1-0 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caen vs Stade Lavallois?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caen 44%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.