Rodez 1-3 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Aug 2024

Rodez
1-3 HT 0-3
Metz
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Rodez vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.26
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.87
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
11%
4.23
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
16%
3.47
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Metz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +25%
1.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.74
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +87%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.4 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Rodez vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Metz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.62 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
291 Passes 386
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
31.01.2023 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
30.08.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-4 HT 0-3 Metz Metz FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz beat Rodez 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Metz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rodez and 2.50 for Metz.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Metz?

Rodez 1-3 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rodez 34%, draw 29%, Metz 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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