Dunkerque 4-2 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
22%
4.58
X/2
12%
7.5
X/X
9%
4.58
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.81
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.60/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.3 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grenoble
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 0.71
61% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
460 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2026 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
13.09.2025 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
18.04.2025 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
08.11.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
13.01.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 2-2 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
16.09.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
4-2
AWAY Grenoble
2.15 xG 0.56
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
406 Passes 293
28 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque saw off Grenoble 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dunkerque as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.15 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dunkerque and 0.67 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Grenoble?

Dunkerque 4-2 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 44%, draw 22%, Grenoble 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✗ Under 2.5
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