Grenoble 1-0 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.44
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.07
X/2
8%
5.08
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
10%
33.0
2/2
21%
3.37
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.24/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.38
-11% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
15.6 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
323 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2025 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
08.11.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
13.01.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 2-2 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
16.09.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
16.04.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-3 HT 0-2 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
06.11.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-0
AWAY Dunkerque
0.62 xG 0.82
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
188 Passes 488
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble edged past Dunkerque 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Grenoble made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Grenoble had 31% of the ball to Dunkerque's 69%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.62 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grenoble and 0.83 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Dunkerque?

Grenoble 1-0 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 37%, draw 28%, Dunkerque 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grenoble), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grenoble) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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