Clermont 1-2 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2025

Clermont
1-2 HT 1-0
Saint-Etienne
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Clermont vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 32% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.44
1/2
8%
22.35
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
8%
8.47
X/2
19%
4.41
X/X
10%
5.04
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.36
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.17/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.37
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.4 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Clermont vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne HAZ
13.02.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-2 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
07.11.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-2 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
24.07.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-3 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont HAZ
13.07.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont HAZ
08.01.2011 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-2 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FRK

Clermont 1-2 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-2
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.38 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
327 Passes 451
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne nicked a narrow win over Clermont 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Clermont had 44% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 56%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.38 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Clermont and 1.50 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Saint-Etienne?

Clermont 1-2 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Clermont 25%, draw 25%, Saint-Etienne 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ Under 2.5
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