Clermont 1-1 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 46%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.34
+119% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-2 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
07.11.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-2 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
24.07.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-3 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont HAZ
13.07.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont HAZ
08.01.2011 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-2 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FRK
27.03.2004 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Saint-Etienne shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Clermont and 1.33 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Saint-Etienne?

Clermont 1-1 Saint-Etienne in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Clermont 37%, draw 27%, Saint-Etienne 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Clermont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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