Anderlecht 2-1 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

Anderlecht
2-1 HT 0-1
Wolfsburg
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Anderlecht vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 27% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.22
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.5
X/2
11%
6.2
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
13%
3.8
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.37/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.97/1.88
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Anderlecht vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wolfsburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
The Meetings
10.01.2014 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht HAZ

Anderlecht 2-1 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
2-1
AWAY Wolfsburg
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht edged past Wolfsburg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 61% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 39%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Wolfsburg?

Anderlecht 2-1 Wolfsburg in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 41%, draw 28%, Wolfsburg 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
20 Jul 2024
11:00 Erdi VSE vs Komarom Analysis →
11:30 Las Palmas vs Como Analysis →
12:00 Polkowice vs Carina Gubin Analysis →
12:00 Girona vs Montpellier Analysis →
12:30 Gyirmot vs Unirea Ungheni Analysis →
15:00 NAC Breda vs Excelsior Analysis →