NAC Breda 1-1 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.09
Draw
37%
3.8
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
3.17
Over 2.5
48%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
8.14
2-3 Goals
42%
2.32
4-5 Goals
25%
2.38
6+ Goals
10%
4.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
44%
-12.4pp
37%
Draw
23%
+13.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
28%
+23.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
72%
-23.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.4pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 37%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.27/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.34
-22% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Excelsior
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.09 xG 2.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 343
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 4-1 HT 3-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
28.05.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 6-2 HT 3-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
22.07.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HAZ
06.05.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 2-2 HT 1-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
01.10.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
23.04.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
1-1
AWAY Excelsior
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda and Excelsior shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 37% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, NAC Breda had 54% of the ball to Excelsior's 46%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for NAC Breda and 1.83 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Excelsior?

NAC Breda 1-1 Excelsior in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 31%, draw 37%, Excelsior 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
20 Jul 2024
11:00 Erdi VSE vs Komarom Analysis →
11:30 Las Palmas vs Como Analysis →
12:00 Polkowice vs Carina Gubin Analysis →
12:00 Girona vs Montpellier Analysis →
12:30 Gyirmot vs Unirea Ungheni Analysis →
14:30 Anderlecht vs Wolfsburg Analysis →