Las Palmas 1-2 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

Las Palmas
1-2 HT 1-0
Como
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Las Palmas vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-75% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Las Palmas 1-2 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-2
AWAY Como
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como squeezed past Las Palmas 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Como found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 54% of the ball to Como's 46%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Como?

Las Palmas 1-2 Como in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 36%, draw 28%, Como 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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