Girona 3-3 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.5pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.60/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.83
+32% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -33%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
03.08.2019 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
3-3
AWAY Montpellier
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Girona vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona and Montpellier couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Girona had 51% of the ball to Montpellier's 49%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Girona vs Montpellier?

Girona 3-3 Montpellier in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Girona 51%, draw 25%, Montpellier 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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