Polkowice 1-4 Carina Gubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polkowice EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carina Gubin EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polkowice
1-4
AWAY Carina Gubin
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carina Gubin swept aside Polkowice 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Carina Gubin found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Polkowice had 51% of the ball to Carina Gubin's 49%, shots finished 11-19.

What was the final score of Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

Polkowice 1-4 Carina Gubin in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polkowice vs Carina Gubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polkowice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Polkowice 40%, draw 26%, Carina Gubin 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polkowice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polkowice) ✓ BTTS Yes
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