Dunkerque 2-0 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.02
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.3
X/1
15%
4.13
X/2
6%
10.8
X/X
11%
5.64
2/1
7%
22.45
2/2
12%
8.76
2/X
7%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.31/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.34
-20% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
29.0 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Grenoble
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.52 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
337 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
13.01.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 2-2 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
16.09.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
16.04.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-3 HT 0-2 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
06.11.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
17.04.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
2-0
AWAY Grenoble
2.06 xG 0.13
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
503 Passes 275
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque got the better of Grenoble 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunkerque as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dunkerque had 63% of the ball to Grenoble's 37%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.06 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dunkerque and 1.17 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Grenoble?

Dunkerque 2-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 46%, draw 28%, Grenoble 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ BTTS No
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