Ajaccio vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajaccio v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Ajaccio vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ajaccio
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ajaccio
FR2
Ajaccio 1-1 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Ajaccio and Pau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Ajaccio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Ajaccio had 55% of the ball to Pau's 45%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.60 to 1.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ajaccio and 0.67 for Pau.
What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Pau?
Ajaccio 1-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 42%, draw 28%, Pau 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajaccio) went the other way.