Pau vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals
Pau vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ajaccio
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ajaccio
FR2
4-1
HT 2-1
Pau
FR2
Pau 1-0 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics
Pau squeezed past Ajaccio 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pau as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Pau had 45% of the ball to Ajaccio's 55%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.11 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pau's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pau and 1.50 for Ajaccio.
What was the final score of Pau vs Ajaccio?
Pau 1-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Ajaccio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pau 53%, draw 28%, Ajaccio 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.