Troyes 4-0 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Dec 2024

Troyes
4-0 HT 1-0
Martigues
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Troyes vs Martigues Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.45
X/1
23%
3.55
X/2
6%
13.65
X/X
11%
5.65
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2 EV+ ✗
13%
11.55
2/X
5%
19.55
Value flag · 2/2 at 11.55 — our 13% vs market 5.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Troyes v Martigues — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +45%
1.50/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
-25% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / +57%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.3 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Troyes 4-0 Martigues — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
4-0
AWAY Martigues
4.49 xG 0.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
30 Total Shots 6
16 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
452 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
48 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes ran out comfortable winners over Martigues 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Troyes had 54% of the ball to Martigues's 46%, shots finished 30-6, expected goals 4.49 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Martigues?

Troyes 4-0 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Troyes 51%, draw 23%, Martigues 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Troyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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