Amiens SC 1-3 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
11%
6.91
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
11%
30.0
2/2
9%
5.47
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.54/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.7 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
335 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
28.10.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
02.06.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
30.12.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
12.05.2017 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
16.12.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-2 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-3
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.92 xG 1.31
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
434 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois got the better of Amiens SC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Amiens SC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Amiens SC had 59% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 41%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.92 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Amiens SC and 0.83 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Stade Lavallois?

Amiens SC 1-3 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 44%, draw 28%, Stade Lavallois 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✗ Under 2.5
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