Pau 1-1 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Apr 2024

Pau
1-1 HT 1-1
Ajaccio
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Pau vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.68
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.79
X/2
10%
5.69
X/X
13%
3.26
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.83
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pau v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -21%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.16
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
20.2 Crosses 15.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Pau vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajaccio
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.86 xG 1.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
320 Passes 395
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
09.04.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
30.10.2021 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
01.05.2021 Pau Pau 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
05.01.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 4-1 HT 2-1 Pau Pau FR2

Pau 1-1 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
1-1
AWAY Ajaccio
0.81 xG 0.13
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
308 Passes 186
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 4
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pau vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau and Ajaccio shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Pau had 59% of the ball to Ajaccio's 41%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 0.81 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Pau and 1.60 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Pau vs Ajaccio?

Pau 1-1 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pau 39%, draw 29%, Ajaccio 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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