Rodez 3-3 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
11%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.67
X/2
7%
6.5
X/X
15%
4.16
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.95
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.40/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.21
+6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.7 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Quevilly
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 287
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 3-1 HT 2-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
01.04.2023 Rodez Rodez 1-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
30.07.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
09.04.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 2-0 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
30.10.2021 Rodez Rodez 3-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez and Quevilly couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rodez at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rodez and 1.00 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Quevilly?

Rodez 3-3 Quevilly in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rodez 41%, draw 29%, Quevilly 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
6 Apr 2024
16:00 Saint-Etienne vs Concarneau Analysis →
20:00 Paris FC vs Grenoble Analysis →
20:00 Caen vs Bordeaux Analysis →
20:00 Pau vs Ajaccio Analysis →
20:00 Angers vs Stade Lavallois Analysis →
20:00 Bastia vs Dunkerque Analysis →