Bastia vs Dunkerque Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Dunkerque — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Dunkerque Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Bastia
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Dunkerque
FR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
Bastia 1-1 Dunkerque — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia and Dunkerque couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Bastia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bastia had 34% of the ball to Dunkerque's 66%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.76 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bastia and 0.67 for Dunkerque.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Dunkerque?
Bastia 1-1 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Dunkerque?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bastia 43%, draw 25%, Dunkerque 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.