Stade Lavallois 2-1 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 25% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.17
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
6.09
X/2
9%
5.41
X/X
10%
4.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.48
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.12/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.91
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.0 Crosses 23.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Rodez
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.39 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-3 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
27.01.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-2 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
19.08.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
15.04.2023 Rodez Rodez 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
13.01.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-1 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois squeezed past Rodez 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Stade Lavallois made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.80 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Rodez?

Stade Lavallois 2-1 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 37%, draw 27%, Rodez 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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