Caen 0-3 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 18 Apr 2025

Caen
0-3 HT 0-2
Martigues
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Caen vs Martigues Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 26% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.95
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.25
X/1
15%
4.21
X/2
10%
11.2
X/X
8%
6.3
2/1
6%
20.7
2/2
10%
8.59
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Martigues — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.62/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.65
-19% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.3 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Caen vs Martigues Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Martigues
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.99 xG 0.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
366 Passes 245
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2024 Martigues Martigues 0-3 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
05.01.2002 Martigues Martigues 2-1 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
18.08.2001 Caen Caen 1-0 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
20.04.2001 Caen Caen 1-2 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
28.10.2000 Martigues Martigues 2-2 HT 0-2 Caen Caen FR2

Caen 0-3 Martigues — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
0-3
AWAY Martigues
2.14 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
424 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 16
49 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues cruised past Caen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Caen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Caen had 60% of the ball to Martigues's 40%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.14 to 1.09 — the balance of chances actually favoured Caen.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Caen and 1.20 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Caen vs Martigues?

Caen 0-3 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Caen 49%, draw 24%, Martigues 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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