Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberystwyth Town v Treowen Stars — Team-Based Signals
Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Treowen Stars squeezed past Aberystwyth Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Aberystwyth Town carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.50 for Treowen Stars.
What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars?
Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Treowen Stars in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 55%, draw 22%, Treowen Stars 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) went the other way.