Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Treowen Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.18
Over 2.5
66%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
42%
-8.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
58%
+8.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.05/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/2.04
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Treowen Stars
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.10.2025 Treowen Stars 2-3 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town squeezed past Treowen Stars 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aberystwyth Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars?

Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Treowen Stars in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 56%, draw 19%, Treowen Stars 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberystwyth Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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