Penrhyncoch 3-1 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
2.07/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
26.07.2025 Mold Alexandra 2-2 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
22.03.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-0 HT 0-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
02.11.2024 Mold Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
11.03.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-2 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch saw off Mold Alexandra 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Penrhyncoch found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Penrhyncoch had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Penrhyncoch and 1.25 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?

Penrhyncoch 3-1 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 35%, draw 26%, Mold Alexandra 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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