Llantwit Major 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.47
-27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
9 Corners 7
14.11.2025 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
12.04.2025 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 HT 1-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
22.02.2025 Llantwit Major 2-1 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
16.03.2024 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
19.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
11.03.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-2 HT 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major saw off Cwmbran Celtic 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.00 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Llantwit Major 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 64%, draw 23%, Cwmbran Celtic 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
14 Feb 2026
17:00 Brickfield Rangers vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
17:00 Y Rhyl 1879 vs Airbus UK Analysis →
17:00 Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra Analysis →
17:00 Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town AFC Analysis →
17:00 Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons Analysis →
17:30 Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars Analysis →