Cardiff Draconians 3-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 31%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.16
+68% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +61%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff Draconians
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.09.2025 Cardiff Draconians 0-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
13.09.2025 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff Draconians GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff Draconians saw off Baglan Dragons 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cardiff Draconians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cardiff Draconians and 0.00 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?

Cardiff Draconians 3-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff Draconians win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cardiff Draconians 40%, draw 25%, Baglan Dragons 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff Draconians), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff Draconians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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