Ynyshir Albions 1-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
32%
-9.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
52%
Away Win
44%
+8.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 48%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.77/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.93
-49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ynyshir Albions
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.08.2025 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-3 HT 2-1 Ynyshir Albions GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC beat Ynyshir Albions 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Ynyshir Albions 1-3 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ynyshir Albions 22%, draw 26%, Pontypridd Town AFC 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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