Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.7pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.99/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.28
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
7 Corners 9
22.02.2025 Llantwit Major 2-1 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
16.03.2024 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
19.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
11.03.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-2 HT 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
13.08.2022 Llantwit Major 0-2 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.04.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-5 HT 0-3 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic edged past Llantwit Major 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Cwmbran Celtic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 1.83 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Llantwit Major?

Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cwmbran Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 40%, draw 30%, Llantwit Major 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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