Llantwit Major 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.86/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.14
-22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
9 Corners 7
16.03.2024 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
19.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
11.03.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-2 HT 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
13.08.2022 Llantwit Major 0-2 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.04.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-5 HT 0-3 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major edged past Cwmbran Celtic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.20 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Llantwit Major 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 51%, draw 27%, Cwmbran Celtic 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5
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