Colwyn Bay 3-2 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.9pp
26%
Draw
15%
+11.2pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.19/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.63
+15% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Guilsfield
4.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
12.10.2024 Guilsfield 0-5 HT 0-3 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
02.01.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 6-0 HT 5-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
22.10.2022 Guilsfield 2-3 HT 2-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
26.03.2022 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-1 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay edged past Guilsfield 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.25 goals for Colwyn Bay and 0.75 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Guilsfield?

Colwyn Bay 3-2 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 60%, draw 26%, Guilsfield 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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