Ruthin Town 1-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.0pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.7pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.51/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/2.18
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
26.12.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-2 HT 0-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
01.01.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
26.12.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town and Denbigh Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 18% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ruthin Town and 1.33 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?

Ruthin Town 1-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 43%, draw 18%, Denbigh Town 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruthin Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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