Alcorcon 1-1 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

Alcorcon
1-1 HT 1-0
Navalcarnero
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Friendlies – 2026

Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
18%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcorcon v Navalcarnero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+83% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Navalcarnero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İSPK

Alcorcon 1-1 Navalcarnero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Navalcarnero
9 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Navalcarnero couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Alcorcon carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 9-2.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero?

Alcorcon 1-1 Navalcarnero in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 56%, draw 23%, Navalcarnero 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcorcon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5
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