Elche 3-0 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

Elche
3-0 HT 1-0
Toulouse
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Elche vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 37% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.77
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.92
X/2
10%
5.73
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
15%
3.59
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.9pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.98/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.48
-36% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Elche 3-0 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
3-0
AWAY Toulouse
1 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elche vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche ran out comfortable winners over Toulouse 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 1-1.

What was the final score of Elche vs Toulouse?

Elche 3-0 Toulouse in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Elche 42%, draw 25%, Toulouse 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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