Chelsea 3-0 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2026

Chelsea
3-0 HT 1-0
Milan
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Chelsea vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.48
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.84
X/2
8%
8.1
X/X
10%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.9
2/2
7%
5.48
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Milan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.04/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.17
-12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
41.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
13.3 Crosses 9.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.6

Chelsea vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Milan
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.07 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
499 Passes 330
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 4-1 HT 2-0 Milan Milan HAZ
11.10.2022 Milan Milan 0-2 HT 0-2 Chelsea Chelsea ŞMP
05.10.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 3-0 HT 1-0 Milan Milan ŞMP
04.08.2016 Milan Milan 1-3 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea HAZ
29.07.2012 Chelsea Chelsea 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan HAZ
25.07.2009 Milan Milan 1-2 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea HAZ

Chelsea 3-0 Milan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
3-0
AWAY Milan
2.17 xG 0.28
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
434 Passes 434
27 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea cruised past Milan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.17 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chelsea and 0.67 for Milan.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Milan?

Chelsea 3-0 Milan in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 53%, draw 24%, Milan 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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